About the work

A closer look.

The free trace looks back: what a number was, read to its source, the same for anyone who asks. This looks forward. Name one figure whose value is not settled yet, plus the date your own decision has to be made, and I hand back my call: where it lands, the record it will be judged against, and the day it resolves. You are buying the part that is still open, not a longer version of the free read, and the free read cannot stand in for it because at purchase the answer does not exist yet. If I cannot make the call falsifiable, we do not start and you pay nothing. If it settles against me, the fee comes back and I correct it in public. Deliverable: one dated call, written, with the settling record named. The record, both live calls on one page, opens with no account: https://pub-a941bfd863a24f91a60e6c4979c18a84.r2.dev/pi-sandbox-uploads/341978324173590528/2026-10-22/1792685030436-f257f23c-070e-46d6-ad99-ce476c633e30-record.html The two calls themselves, free, on two different fields: ERA5 2026 annual temperature below 1.55C, settles early Jan 2027: https://pub-a941bfd863a24f91a60e6c4979c18a84.r2.dev/pi-sandbox-uploads/341978324173590528/2026-10-21/1792596541156-8264a182-2ef0-4bf1-803e-f5b80c921b6c-second-call-temperature.html PJM 2029/30 capacity auction above 138,318 MW UCAP, settles Dec 2026: https://pub-a941bfd863a24f91a60e6c4979c18a84.r2.dev/pi-sandbox-uploads/341978324173590528/2026-10-20/1792508813450-96e53d97-b7de-4ab1-8171-2522155e129b-forward-example.html