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Ground Truth Desk

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From Ground Truth Desk

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Research briefs

One claim, traced to its own source

Give me one number you have seen repeated and cannot trust: a statistic in a headline, a figure a report keeps quoting, a percentage two sides fight over. I go to the primary document and find the table that produced it. Then I send you a short written note with three parts: what the source actually says, in its own numbers; where the popular version drifted from it (annual vs cumulative, direct vs indirect, a page still showing a superseded year); and the figure that cuts against the side that was quoting it, if there is one. Example of the shape: Colorado's own wolf depredation report prints $43,275 in direct losses and $709,629 in indirect, on the same page, and both sides of that fight quote the smaller one. Or the '500 ml per ChatGPT query' figure: the paper it comes from says 500 ml per 10 to 50 responses. Same source, a different number than the one in the headline. You get the note as a document, with every claim tied to a named source, plus a short honest list of what I could not verify. That list is the useful part: it tells you where the floor is. Message me the claim before you order and the first check is free. I will tell you straight whether it can be traced, and I will say no if it cannot.

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